As organized crime takes over, the region could turn into a hub for delinquent activities impacting the US and Europe. In short , should the US and the larger Latin American countries with Caribbean Shores not come up with a cooperation plan to address the upcoming crisis in the Caribbean, the region will turn into a large Port Royal to be known as “the wickedest region of the world”
President Juan Guaido, recognized by nearly 60 countries, is suffering the consequences of not having established a government and not taking strategic initiatives against the dictatorship. Guaido is now a prisoner of those groups that constitute a majority within the National Assembly whom the people -seeing the results coming out of it that allow the dictatorship to stay- increasingly and more powerfully point to as having the role of “functional opposition” members. To publicly and openly constitute a force comprised by the States who have recognized him. To present a “credible threat” that can remove the usurpation and if recalcitrant end the usurpation with legitimate actions. It would not be an intervention or an invasion, but only an enforcement of the law and to restore national sovereignty under the authority of Venezuela’s president.
When the United Nations Convention against Transnational Organized Crime (UNTOC) was adopted in 2000 total profits of Transnational Organized crime where estimated to be about US 10 Billion. By 2010 the income flow had jumped to 90 Billion. Today it is one trillion. In short, TOC is winning given the lack of political will among nation states to coalesce around this threat to fully apply national and international tools created to deal with the challenge. The retrench of most nations from multilateralism into quasi feudal foreign policies will be the best insurance policy for TOC to prosper this century.
China’s exposure to the world in trade, technology, and capital has fallen in relative terms. Conversely, the world’s exposure to China has increased. This reflects the rebalancing of the Chinese economy toward domestic consumption”. Mexico and Brazil’s entry into the development circle is fundamental to the US as these countries would secure China’s engagement to a restructured international system that adapts the 1945 architecture to the demands of the digital economy and those of risk mitigation imposed by geopolitics. But maybe they will rather prefer to continue to be the countries of the future.
In Latin America there are substantial differences between countries with democracy and those with dictatorships, with facts that demonstrate the pandemic to be weakening democratic governments and providing an opportunity for permanency to the dictatorships. In the context of uncertainty and fear in which the world is learning to cope with the pandemic, it is urgent to strike a balance between politics, health, and the economy, but the lower rates of acceptance and popularity of democratic presidents becomes an unavoidable constant that does not help. With the growing social unrest and accelerated economic crises in Latin America, there have been scenarios created that are conducive for the Castro Chavist conspiracy seeking to destabilize and -if possible- topple governments. These are their objectives already under way and confessed since last year in Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Chile, Bolivia, and elsewhere.
There are who believe that the more democratic countries are, the safer it will be to interact with them. In this case, prioritizing relations with democratic countries is in the best interests of U.S. national security and wellbeing. A serious dialogue is urgently needed. The Republican/Democratic and Trump/anti-Trump divides must give way to something significantly more positive. This is the responsibility of both parties.
Bolivian people’s civil resistance achieved the departure of Evo Morales who resigned on 10 November of last year. He ascended into power for five years, without the right of reelection and remained there for thirteen (13) years, nine (9) months, and eighteen (18) consecutive days as part of the 21st Century Socialism or Castrochavism. He eliminated the Republic and democracy, massacred, imprisoned, exiled, institutionalized corruption and built a narco-state. With his resignation and flight the dictator fell, but not the dictatorship, because his constitution, laws, governmental institutions, members of the Assembly, magistrates, prosecutors, and a whole entire system -as a governmental and criminal structure- are still binding and remain very much in-place, something that makes it virtually impossible to have democracy and go through a transition. In Bolivia there is neither democracy, nor transition. There is no longer a dictator, yet there is still a dictatorship and while the Plurinational State’s constitution is kept and the Republic is not restored, a transition will be impossible. The preservation of the dictatorship is just about secured and the return of the dictator is a real threat.
For all the devastation it has caused covid 19 one thing is sure: life will have a different flavor when tamed by science. Initially the cyber express way will be larger, more efficient an more penetrating than ever. In short the worldwide ghetto imposed by covid 19 and that will last up and until science comes forward with a vaccination will most likely produce the most competitive work force ever to move on planet earth. Very much like in the Middle Ages when the world created knowledge that later impacted trade and culture to usher the renaissance, the covid19 ghetto will be the midwife of greater and more equal progress.
The global crisis unleashed by the Coronavirus pandemic is used to benefit transnational organized crime by the dictatorships from Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. They take advantage of the pandemic to strengthen their de-facto regimes, conspire to topple democracies, and profit from international aid, the human trafficking of enslaved physicians and the increase of narcotics’ trafficking. Democracies -with successes and failures- responded within the framework of; respecting human rights, the rule of law, freedom of the press, the obligation of accountability and transparency, while dictatorships did so using their system of oppression, repression, and the commission of more crime to meet their one and only objective which is to keep themselves indefinitely in power with impunity.
Headlines tell us that many heads of state in our hemisphere have faced significant cabinet resignations to the point that analysts have dubbed those nations as revolving door syndrome countries — from the US, to Brazil, to Argentina, to Peru — as good news for the maturity of democracy. This was precisely the observation made by Alexis de Tocqueville on the strength of democracy in the United States “ The health of a democratic society may be measured by the quality of functions performed by private citizens.”
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