Opinion

The dangerous syndrome of a collapsing star

Discussion of how the futures of Bolivia and Argentina are related to the Collapsing Star Syndrome of Aung San Suu Kyi in Myanmar. In Latin America the Myanmar syndrome sems to be about to take hold. In Argentina Alberto Fernandez has been elected president but chances that he will govern seem slim. In Bolivia Ms Añez the interim President, could suddenly fall prey to those that would rather find accommodation with the ancient regime than enact and unfold democratic reforms in the country that is South America’s heart. Both Ms Añez and Mr Fernandez could thus become the regional victims of the collapsing star syndrome.

TO CORRECT THE CRITICAL STATE OF THE TRANSITION TOWARDS DEMOCRACY IN BOLIVIA

Ever since Evo Morales’ resignation the past 10th of November, the process to transition to democracy in Bolivia is underway under extremely dangerous and fragile conditions because “the dictator fell but not the dictatorship”.  The Interim President Jeanine Añez has the mandate to conduct free and fair elections as soon as possible but is faced with the dictatorship’s intact forces, the unclear functional opposition, narcotics’ trafficking, foreign intervention and violence.  A critical situation that urges an analysis and correction.

Two moments in the Americas

Discussion of Mario Vargas Llosa’s new book on the rise and fall of Guatemala President Jacobo Arbenz and what it foretells about the return of Evo Morales to Bolivia.

PERPETUAL IMPUNITY FOR EVO MORALES:  AMNESTY IN 2003 AND NOW AN AMNESTY LAW FROM THE DICTATORIAL LEGISLATIVE

In Bolivia the dictator absconded, but not the dictatorship. The Organized Crime system implanted by Cuba and Venezuela, using the Castrochavist model of total power possession, maintains its dictatorial Legislative Assembly with two-thirds of votes and the entire Judicial system under its control. Under these conditions, the transition towards democracy is stuck and can end as a grim simulation. The true history that Castrochavists and Evo Morales’ apologists hide is that of “Evo Kills”. Nine presidents and over 40 ministers changed, but the situation always repeats itself with a permanent actor called Evo Morales. applies only to those citizens whose acts would have been committed in the time frame encompassing between 5 August to 4 November of 2003, within the realm of social protests against decisions taken by the National Government”.   This is tantamount to impunity for the topplers and persecution for the members of the democratic government.    It must be rescinded and annulled by President Janine Añez as part of reestablishing the “Rule of Law”. Now in 2019 following his departure from power it has been shown that Evo Morales, as an ordinary citizen, directs from Mexico terrorism, sedition, conspiracy and the same violence he has practiced for 30 years with his narcotrafficking defense forces. He also protects himself with impunity from a law that his “dictatorial legislative” has approved under a misnomer titled “Law of Constitutional Guarantees” to prevent the fugitive dictator, his accomplices, and his enablers to be tried and punished.

The Two Phases in the Transition Towards Democracy in Bolivia

After almost 14 years of holding power in Bolivia, the Castrochavist system remains intact because the dictator collapsed but not the dictatorship. Evo Morales’ regime is a dictatorship that, applying the model orchestrated from Cuba and Venezuela, made disappear all the fundamental components of democracy in order to perpetuate itself in power, through: 1- The institutionalization of the violation of “human rights and basic freedoms”. 2- The elimination of the “Rule of Law”. 3- The ending of the “separation and independence of the branches of government”. 4- The supplanting of “free and fair elections” by a “vote-catching dictatorship”. 5- The ending of the “free social and political organization”. The second pase of the transition towards democracy will be under the responsibility of those who will be elected in the forthcoming elections, a date for which has yet to be determined, that is anticipated will be around the month of April of 2020. The purpose for the transition from dictatorship to democracy in Bolivia is the restoration of the Republic and all fundamental components of democracy, including the replacement of elected officials and candidates who comprise the dictatorship either as direct participants or as functional opposition members.  Until that happens, the dictatorship will not have ended.

What’s Happening With the Crisis in Chile?

Since Chile transitioned to democracy, the right and the left have co-existed harmoniously. The center-left governed for 24 years and the center-right for about 5 years. Both have supported democracy, private entrepreneurship, free markets, and global integration. However, unhappy Chileans seem to have focused on several issues. First, Chileans were protesting the system of retirement and pension plans. Chileans have also protested the tax system. Education is another issue. Another problem Chileans have raised is the problem of health. In Chile, we have seen a remarkable example of a political class that assumed responsibility and has responded as democratic leaders should. This is in sharp contrast with what happened in Venezuela, Nicaragua, Evo Morales’ Bolivia, and Kirchner’s Argentina, where governments assumed a defensive posture and blamed third parties such as the opposition, globalization, the United States, or another remote entity.

United States: the nation against the republic

The collision is inevitable in 2020. The nation is woven with subjective perceptions and stereotypes. The republic, with laws that respond to social changes. The nation gives us the platonic idea of “the Americans”: they are white, blond, independent and brave, presumably with clear eyes, idealistic, nationalistic, enterprising. They worship the Christians’ god, are heterosexuals and communicate in English. The republic, at least today, claims that “the Americans” are of different colors and mixtures, believers or non-believers in any god, and are subject to rules or social conventions that do not take sexuality or gender into account. This dichotomy will reappear in the 2020 elections between Donald Trump, quintessence of the nation, and whoever is elected as Democratic candidate among the dozen who aspire to be the White House’s tenant. There are, old, young and mature people; Christians, Jews, atheists (in pectore) and agnostics; whites, blacks, half-breeds and Hispanics; gays decorated for their repeated presence in wars, men and women who are “average” south of the waist; radicals and conservatives; socialists and social democrats; billionaires, millionaires and middle classes; extremely educated people and less studious beings.

DEMOCRACIES MUST IDENTIFY CUBA AND VENEZUELA AS THE AGGRESSORS

With dictator Evo Morales’ fall in Bolivia, Castrochavism has been shrunken to hold power in Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua, plus benefit from Mexico’s subordination and that of the Fernandez/Kirchner from Argentina. In this 21st Century, there are TWO AMERICAS; the democratic one and the dictatorial other.  The axis of confrontation is between DEMOCRACY and DICTATORSHIP. The dictatorial America, led by Cuba and comprised by Venezuela and Nicaragua is in crisis, bankrupt, evident to be narco-states, with a permanent and growing risk of losing power due to the heroic internal resistance of the citizenry. In order to survive, Castrochavism -that is the dictatorial America- carries out a strategy that includes at least: 1. To increase internal repression. 2. To increase their accusations and attacks. 3. Forge alliances with those who it considers imperialism’s, or the right’s, common enemies. 4.-To unleash a violent regional offensive to destabilize and topple democratic governments. It is clear that the attacker-in-chief is Cuba with Venezuela’s usurper as its main operator, manipulating narcotics’ trafficking, the FARC, and criminal groups.  It is time to identify Cuba and Venezuela as the attackers.